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  • Featured Reports

    • Oil: Short-Term Versus Long-Term Price Scenarios
      by Bluford Putnam on October 17, 2017 at 6:15 pm

      U.S. shale technology is an evolving science that will continue to boost output even as fuel efficiency achieved through electric vehicles depletes demand. […]

    • Equities: Comparing Russell 2000 Versus S&P 500®
      by Erik Norland on October 11, 2017 at 3:00 pm

      Since the Russell 2000 began tracking the performance of small-cap stocks in 1979, the index has broadly matched, if not slightly exceeded, the performance of the more venerable S&P 500® index of large cap stocks (Figure 1).  While the two indexes’ overall performance has been similar and their correlation generally high (0.8 on […]

    • Europe: How Markets View Unity vs. Disintegration
      by Erik Norland on October 9, 2017 at 11:00 am

      Opposing forces championing integration versus disintegration are assailing Europe.  In the past two years both sides have scored important victories.  Britain’s Brexit, Spain’s Catalonian independence referendum and the entry of the nationalist Alternative fur Deutschland (AfD) party to the German parliament, or Bundestag, […]

    • Options Markets Complacent Ahead of La Niña
      by Erik Norland on October 2, 2017 at 11:00 am

      After a head fake last year, the La Niña weather phenomenon may be coming back for real this time (Figure 1).  Cooler-than-normal water is pooling along the Equator on the Americas side of the Pacific Ocean (Figure 2).  La Niña is associated with cooler, wetter conditions along the U.S.-Canadian border; warmer, drier […]

  • Agriculture

    • Seven of the Most Noteworthy Trading Days of 2016
      by Bluford Putnam on January 4, 2017 at 6:28 pm

      With the big changes of 2016 still fresh in our memories, we take a look back at the year’s seven most interesting trading days to review what we may have learned (or not) about managing risk. The U.S. elections and UK’s Brexit referendum highlighted the need to manage political event risk, especially since opinion polls proved […]

    • Ag Economy Barometer Overview
      by CME Group on May 5, 2016 at 3:29 pm

      Learn more about the Purdue University/CME Group Ag Economy Barometer, a nationwide measure of the health of the U.S. agricultural economy. […]

    • Using Options During Phase Transitions
      by CME Group on November 17, 2015 at 11:10 pm

      Chief Economist Blu Putnam appears on Futures Institute to discuss trading options during phase transitions.&nbs […]

    • Sources of Volatility in Q3 2015
      by Bluford Putnam on July 16, 2015 at 3:09 pm

      CME Group Chief Economist Blu Putnam talks about the potential sources of volatility facing markets in the third quarter of 2015, including the Federal Reserve's impending decision on the first rate hike in nearly a decade, the Greek equation in Europe, questions over China's sustained economic growth, and El Nino and its potential impact on […]

  • Energy

    • Oil: Economic Landscape of Saudi Arabia
      by Erik Norland on July 21, 2017 at 2:15 pm

      Most fundamental indicators are flashing bearish signals for oil.  1) Inventories are rising on a seasonally-adjusted basis. 2) Oil production continues to rise in Brazil, Kazakhstan, Libya and the United States, largely offsetting production cuts by the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) – which is itself showing […]

    • Seven of the Most Noteworthy Trading Days of 2016
      by Bluford Putnam on January 4, 2017 at 6:28 pm

      With the big changes of 2016 still fresh in our memories, we take a look back at the year’s seven most interesting trading days to review what we may have learned (or not) about managing risk. The U.S. elections and UK’s Brexit referendum highlighted the need to manage political event risk, especially since opinion polls proved […]

    • Brexit: Event Risk Set to Rise Over Next Two Years
      by Bluford Putnam on June 24, 2016 at 5:47 pm

      Britain's historic vote to leave the European Union sets the stage for an increase in event risk over the next two years as negotiations get underway after the Conservative Party picks a new leader to replace outgoing Prime Minister David Cameron, a proponent of the "Remain" campaign in the run-up to the referendum. […]

    • Using Options During Phase Transitions
      by CME Group on November 17, 2015 at 11:10 pm

      Chief Economist Blu Putnam appears on Futures Institute to discuss trading options during phase transitions.&nbs […]

  • Financials

    • Consumer Sentiment
      by CME Group on October 20, 2017 at 10:52 pm

      The University of Michigan's Consumer Survey Center questions 500 households each month on their financial conditions and attitudes about the economy. Consumer sentiment is directly related to the strength of consumer spending. Consumer confidence and consumer sentiment are two ways of talking about consumer attitudes. Among economic reports, […]

    • GDP
      by CME Group on October 20, 2017 at 10:52 pm

      Gross Domestic Product represents the total value of the country's production during the period and consists of the purchases of domestically-produced goods and services by individuals, businesses, foreigners and government entities. Data are available in nominal and real (inflation-adjusted) dollars, as well as in index form. Economists and […]

    • Pending Home Sales Index
      by CME Group on October 20, 2017 at 10:52 pm

      The National Association of Realtors developed the pending home sales index as a leading indicator of housing activity. Specifically, it is a leading indicator of existing home sales, not new home sales. A pending sale is one in which a contract was signed, but not yet closed. It usually takes four to six weeks to close a contracted sale. […]

    • International Trade in Goods
      by CME Group on October 20, 2017 at 10:52 pm

      The Census Bureau is now publishing an advance report on U.S. international trade in goods. The Bureau of Economic Analysis will incorporate these data into its estimates of exports and imports for the advance GDP estimates. This is expected to reduce the size of revisions to GDP growth in the second estimates.Note that data in the advance goods […]

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